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SolutionsGeoSafe

Geopolitical intelligence for international decisions

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What it does

We turn institutional instability and regulatory risk into traceable scenarios for deciding on capital, people and assets.

Explore country-risk matrix
Country matrix · Illustrative scenario
Country matrix · Illustrative scenario

By the time the rule is published, you've been exposed for months.

A change of regime, a capital control or a regulatory turn is not announced the day it takes effect. It builds for months in minor decisions nobody aggregates, and by the time it reaches the balance sheet it admits no response.

By then the question is not what happened. It is how long you were exposed.

  • 18

    Jurisdictions under permanent reading

  • 3

    Scenarios with assigned probability

  • 4

    Cross-checked sources behind every finding

  • T-30 d

    Early warning on regulatory milestones

GRID method / 4 layers

Four layers. No hunches.

Every layer preserves source, time and confidence. The output is not more information: it is a decision with an owner and a window.

  1. 01/04 · Global collection

    OSINT · HUMINT · SOCMINT

    Political, regulatory, social and economic signals collected continuously.

  2. 02/04 · Expert analysis

    Senior triangulation

    Former diplomats and analysts assign confidence, contradictions and decision relevance.

  3. 03/04 · Strategic decision

    Base · Best · Worst

    Probability-weighted scenarios with milestones, change indicators and available options.

  4. 04/04 · Advisory support

    Exit and containment

    Safe-exit strategies, asset immobilisation and reputational response.

Delivery / What reaches your desk

Not more analysis. A position.

Formats for the board

GRID / GeoSafe · Live exposure feedAnalytical simulation
Open signals
03
Nearest decision
T-06 h
Mean confidence
74%
  • SIG-4180Conditional continuityBase case58%69%T-06 h
  • SIG-4217Capital controlsAdverse case27%90%T-18 h
  • SIG-4254Regulatory reviewNext milestoneT–34d63%T-34 h
Sources: OSINT · telemetry · field network
  1. Market entry

    New-market entry

    Assessment of partners, regulatory exposure and conditions for committing capital.

    01
  2. Active exposure

    Investment in volatile regions

    Monitoring of changes affecting assets, repatriation, people or social licence.

    02
  3. Daily

    Operational briefing

    Prioritised signals, recommended decision and action window for the frontline team.

    03
  4. Weekly

    Exposure report

    Scenario evolution, material changes and mitigation measures for functional leaders.

    04
  5. Monthly

    Executive memorandum

    Consolidated view for leadership and board: impact, open decisions and cost of inaction.

    05

Criteria / Answers

Fair questions.

How is scenario probability calculated?

Observable indicators, precedents and expert judgement are combined; every estimate retains sources and confidence.

Can a specific transaction be analysed?

Yes. Analysis can focus on an acquisition, market entry, counterparty or individual asset.

Are regulatory risk and sanctions included?

Yes. Regulatory change, sanctions, capital controls and enforcement capacity are included.

How often are scenarios reviewed?

Cadence follows exposure; any material indicator triggers an extraordinary review.

Next step

Country risk shows up late. Unless you measure it.

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Turn country uncertainty into comparable scenarios before committing capital, reputation or people.